SteadyOptions is an options trading forum where you can find solutions from top options traders. TRY IT FREE!

We’ve all been there… researching options strategies and unable to find the answers we’re looking for. SteadyOptions has your solution.

A More Diversified Anchor Strategy


Over the past few months, the performance of the Leveraged Anchor strategy has exceeded our expectations.  There has also been a few things learned regarding adjustments after large market falls, that had never been contemplated (see Anchor Analysis And Options). 

The model portfolio also expended a bit of cash to reset the long call position, so the strategy could participate more if and when the market continues to rebound.

Even with this good performance, we are always looking to improve overall performance.  Improved performance can occur through a reduction in risk, better absolute performance over time, or a combination of the two. 


I’ve created three different portfolios for demonstrative purposes.  Portfolio 1 is 100% long SPY.  Portfolio 2 is 25% each of SPY, IWM (small caps), QQQ (technology), and EFA (international).  Portfolio 3 roughly curve fit the best blend of them (thanks to portfolio visualizer):

 

image.png

 

As can be seen, virtually any blend of diversified assets has outperformed simply holding one asset class over the last 20 years. If we curve fit, we can greatly increase performance – by almost 2% per year.  Historically, going further back in time, this pattern holds even more true.  A diversified blend of assets typically reduces risk and increases performance, over significant periods of time. 

Of course, you’ll be able to find a 1-5 year period (or maybe even longer), where a single asset class outperforms a diversified basket – but good luck picking that asset class moving forward.  Is it time for international stocks to rebound more than the U.S. despite lagging for a decade?  Are small caps going to outperform large caps as they traditionally do?  What about technology – will it continue to outperform other large caps?  Maybe you have those answers, but I don’t.  However, as a long term investor, I know that diversification works over time.

 

How does one decide what the “optimal” split is in allocation?  If you look over the last 20 years, SPY has a CAGR of 5.58%, IWM 6.03%, QQQ 7.08%, and EFA 4.31%.  What if we take out the recent bull run in large caps and look at the first decade of this century (2001-2010)?  Things change drastically.  SPY has a CARG of 3.00%, IWM 6.83%, QQQ 4.24%, and EFA 6.69%.  If you expand further, you can find (thanks to Forbes):


image.png

 

(Note: Technology was not an asset class for much of the above period). 

 

After reviewing multiple periods of time (from one year to one hundred years), several trends are clear:

 

  1. Small caps typically outperform large caps;
  2. Over the last 10 years, large caps have been the best performing;
  3. Technology stocks have outperformed even large caps significantly in the last decade;
  4. International stocks have consistently under performed large cap, small cap, and technology, but that trend is “recent” in the last 20 years; but
  5. International has the lowest correlation to the listed classes.

 

There is no “magic” blend and each investor can create their own.  Some people will be most comfortable with a straight 25/25/25/25 split, which takes any risk for picking which sector is going to perform the best off the table.  Others will weigh the most recent better performers stronger.  If we look at just the last 10 or 20 years, we would not allocate anything to international stocks.  However, I personally like the low level of correlation and want at least some exposure internationally.  I also expect a reversion to small caps outperforming, particularly in the near future.  In my personal portfolio, I would choose:

 

  • SPY                     25%
  • QQQ                    25%
  • IWM                     30%
  • EFA                      20%

 

There is no “correct” blend, as it is impossible to know which class will perform the best moving forward, particularly over long periods of time.  Part of the above also contemplates some of the overlap between QQQ and SPY. 

 

Once an asset class division is decided on, all that is left to do is to implement the Leveraged Anchor strategy on each asset.  This is the biggest challenge in setting things up, as it is capital intensive.  Assuming 3 contracts is the smallest size one can use (3 long calls, 3 long puts 5% out of the money, 1 long put at the money, and one short put), then current minimum amounts necessary to open a Leveraged Anchor strategy:

 

  • SPY:      $35,000
  • QQQ:     $30,000
  • IWM:      $20,000
  • EFA:       $7,500

 

These values are going to somewhat dictate how you divide your money among the different asset classes.  For instance, it is virtually impossible, without very large sums of money, to get the splits I set out above.  I could get close:

 

  • SPY:      $35,000  25.6%
  • QQQ:     $40,000  29.2%
  • IWM:      $46,667  34.14%
  • EFA:      $15,000   10.9%

 

But to implement the above, I would need almost $140,000.  The minimum I would need to implement any version of a diversified Anchor is still over $90,000. 

 

I would advise any client that is interested in Anchor, and who has over $100,000 to invest, that diversifying the strategy, should outperform, over long periods of time.  In any given one- or two-year period, there will be outperformance by one class over the other.  The goal of diversification is to reduce variability and risk, while increasing returns, over long periods.

 

In the near future, we will begin listing out Leveraged Anchor trades for the different asset classes.  Members are free to stick with SPY or come up with their own diversification blend.  As always, if you would like to open a managed account, and have Lorintine Capital manage a diversified Anchor portfolio for you, we would be happy to discuss the matter. 

 

Christopher Welsh is a licensed investment advisor and president of LorintineCapital, LP. He provides investment advice to clients all over the United States and around the world. Christopher has been in financial services since 2008 and is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™. Working with a CFP® professional represents the highest standard of financial planning advice. Christopher has a J.D. from the SMU Dedman School of Law, a Bachelor of Science in Computer Science, and a Bachelor of Science in Economics. Christopher is a regular contributor to the Steady Options Anchor Trades and Lorintine CapitalBlog.

Related articles:

What Is SteadyOptions?

Full Trading Plan

Complete Portfolio Approach

Diversified Options Strategies

Exclusive Community Forum

Steady And Consistent Gains

High Quality Education

Risk Management, Portfolio Size

Performance based on real fills

Try It Free

Non-directional Options Strategies

10-15 trade Ideas Per Month

Targets 5-7% Monthly Net Return

Visit our Education Center

Recent Articles

Articles

  • Probability vs. Certainty Trap

    We all would like all our trades to be winners, but we know this is not possible. We know some of the trades will be losers. Many traders think that if a trade has lost money, it was a bad trade. They try to identify what errors they made that lead to losses. Why? "Because I lost money! So surely I have made a mistake somewhere?”

    By Kim,

    • 2 comments
    • 6,295 views
  • How To Choose The Right Platform For Your Stock Trading

    The interest in stock trading has increased due to its higher returns and profit potentials. Like the many traders available, there are numerous approaches and platforms to set your trading environment. Online trading platforms provide adequate resources and tools for their clients' trading success.

    By Kim,

    • 0 comments
    • 1,599 views
  • How To Approach Passive Investing

    Passive investing refers to an investment technique that seeks to increase returns by limiting purchasing and selling. One of the most popular passive investment strategies is index investing, this means that a group of investors buy a representative benchmark, and keep hold of this over a long period.

    By Kim,

    • 0 comments
    • 1,560 views
  • How Anchor Survived the 2020 Crash

    We are often asked how the Anchor strategy performed during the market crash of 2020. The monthly performance can be seen on the performance page, but it shows the End of Month values and doesn't tell the whole picture. This article will shows a detailed analysis of the Anchor portfolio during the crash.

    By Kim,

    • 2 comments
    • 3,204 views
  • Lumpy Dividends and Options

    Dividend payments, like oatmeal, may be smooth or lumpy. Smooth dividends are predictable, usually once per quarter. It is easy for options traders to believe these dividends are guaranteed, because they usually continue uninterrupted quarter after quarter. This also makes it easy to predict total return over a longer time span.

    By Michael C. Thomsett,

    • 0 comments
    • 3,410 views
  • Got Crypto? Here's How to Use It

    Cryptocurrencies are fast becoming an accepted personal and corporate finance method - much to the chagrin of centralized banks and established financial institutions. The reasons are numerous, but in a nutshell, the decentralization of massive amounts of currency poses a threat to their systems.

    By Kim,

    • 0 comments
    • 2,151 views
  • Option Payoff Probability

    Many options analyses focus on profit, loss and breakeven. These show what occurs on expiration day, assuming the option remains open to that point. But this is not realistic. Most options are closed or exercised before expiration, is calculation of how probable a payoff is going to be, how likely the loss, or the exact neutral outcome (breakeven), are all unrealistic.

    By Michael C. Thomsett,

    • 0 comments
    • 1,777 views
  • How to Open Your Own Trading Office

    Are you ready to break out on your own? Have you been trading for a company for years making tons of money for yourself and others? Are you ready to take home a bigger piece of the pie? If you answered “yes” to these questions then you have the skills necessary to take your passion for trading to the next level.

    By Kim,

    • 0 comments
    • 2,279 views
  • How To Create Your Own Indexed Annuity

    Indexed annuities are a life insurance company product sold by insurance brokers for a commission that is based on the amount deposited into the contract. Contract performance is linked to popular indexes like S&P 500, and early withdrawal penalties typically apply for the first 7-10 years if withdrawals greater than 10% of the contract value are taken each year.

    By Jesse,

    • 0 comments
    • 2,858 views
  • Q&A with Mental Game Coach Jared Tendler

    QUESTION: Thank you for taking the time to participate in a Q & A session with Steady Option. Let’s start with an introduction and a little bit of background on who you are and how you got here.

    By Jared Tendler,

    • 0 comments
    • 2,626 views

  Report Article

We want to hear from you!


There are no comments to display.



Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account. It's easy and free!


Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.


Sign In Now

Options Trading Blogs Expertido