I can see how Taleb, by either using far OTM SPX puts close to expiration or VXX calls in a similar way, could have generated 3600%. I backtested SPX using -4 Delta 2-4 DTE puts from 2/21 to 2/28, rolling 30 minutes before the market close each day back into -4 Delta/2-4 DTE puts and trying to limit the trade to no more than 10% of the available open interest (therefore, requiring multiple strikes near 4 Delta & different expirations). Doing so generated 4,000%. However, if left on until the next trading day, the return dropped all the way down to 83%. So, getting in and out at the right time was critical.
However, I have no idea how Ackman went from $27 million to $2.6 billion. In the article link it says:
Pershing Square used credit protection on investment-grade and high-yield bond indexes to land the massive profits. The assets rise in value as the odds of corporate defaults increase.
What could he have used that jumped about 10,000% that had enough volume to accommodate such large amounts of capital?
By the way, in case you might be interested, that one week backtest if rolled each time the -4 Delta put reached -10 Delta intraday would have generated over 12,000% (but ending up at -13% if left on until the next trading day).