SteadyOptions is an options trading forum where you can find solutions from top options traders. Join Us!

We’ve all been there… researching options strategies and unable to find the answers we’re looking for. SteadyOptions has your solution.

Amazon Missed, And We Don't Care


Amazon reported earnings after the close today, and the company missed expectations on profits. It happened only once since 2014. Is it just a bump in the road? Or a sign of upcoming pullback? Should you buy the pullback? Or should you take your money and run?

Are You Ready For the Drawdowns?

 

When thinking about big winners in the stock market, adversity and large drawdowns probably aren’t the first words that come to mind. We tend to put the final outcome (big long-term gains) on a pedestal and ignore the grit and moxie required to achieve that outcome.

 

But moxie is the key to long-term investing success, for there is no such thing as a big long-term winner without enduring a big drawdown along the way…

 

Amazon has gained 38,882% from its IPO in 1997, an annualized return of over 36%. To put that in perspective, a $100,000 investment in 1997 would be worth just under $39 million today.

 

big3

Breathtaking gains, but they were not realized without significant adversity. In December 1999, the initial $100,000 investment would have grown to $5.4 million. By September 2001, less than 2 years later, this $5.4 million would shrink down to $304,000, a 94% drawdown. It took over 8 years, until October 2009, for Amazon to finally recover from this drawdown to move to new highs.

 

big4

 

Just Bump In The Road?

 

Most investors remember the last few earnings reports when the stock usually went up after earnings, but the picture was not always that rosy. Here is the history of AMZN reaction to earnings in the last 3 years (courtesy of optionslam.com):

 

Capture.PNG

 

As you can see, 2014 wasn't pretty. And it was a year when S&P 500 was up 13.6%.

 

After today's report, AMZN investors have to ask themselves the following questions:

  • Is it still a good buy?
  • Is the current pullback just bump in the road or there is more downside ahead of us?
  • Is the growth story over?
  • Is the stock still reasonably priced at current levels?

 

What if you decide to sell and the stock recovers nicely? Or maybe you buy and the stock continues lower?

 

We Don't Care!

 

Fortunately, as non-directional options traders, we don't really care. We just closed AMZN calendar spread today before the earnings for 30.0% gain. This was a non-directional trade based on Implied Volatility. Specifically, volatility skew that always exists between the front week and the more distant expiration.

 

We have been implementing this strategy since 2013 with great success on stocks like AMZN, NFLX, GOOG, TSLA and more. Here are the results:

 

Capture.PNG

 

Some of the advantages of this strategy:

  • We don't care about the direction the stock goes.
  • We don't care about fundamentals.
  • We don't have to guess if the growth story is still intact.
  • We don't need to time the market, "buy the dip" or "sell the strength". 

Instead, we can just relax and enjoy our gains, no matter what the stock does.

 

Related Articles:

 

If you want to learn more how to use our profitable strategies and increase your odds:

 

Start Your Free Trial

What Is SteadyOptions?

Full Trading Plan

Complete Portfolio Approach

Diversified Options Strategies

Exclusive Community Forum

Steady And Consistent Gains

High Quality Education

Risk Management, Portfolio Size

Performance based on real fills

Subscribe

Non-directional Options Strategies

10-15 trade Ideas Per Month

Targets 5-7% Monthly Net Return

Visit our Education Center

Recent Articles

Articles

  • Option Settlement: The Basics

    At their core, options involve buying and selling the rights to transact in a specific asset. When you buy a call option on AAPL, you're paying for the right to buy AAPL at a special price before a particular date. But all options expire, and at expiration, the two parties of the contract need to settle up with each other. This process is called settlement.

    By Pat Crawley,

    • 0 comments
    • 72 views
  • Pros and Cons of Weekly Options

    Weekly options used to be a niche product only reserved for gamblers and last-minute hedgers. However, weekly options are now listed on most major stocks and account for a significant portion of overall options trading.

    By Pat Crawley,

    • 0 comments
    • 135 views
  • Iron Condor Vs. Short Strangle

    The journey of an options trader's development typically has several stops along the way. The first is generally related to using options to leverage their directional bets using outright calls, puts, or vertical spreads. Somewhere along the way, a novice options trader begins to understand volatility's importance to the options market.

    By Pat Crawley,

    • 0 comments
    • 205 views
  • Short Gamma vs. Long Gamma

    Gamma is one of the primary Options Greeks, which measure an option's sensitivity to specific factors that could affect an option price. Despite traders hyping up several different Greeks and second-order Greeks like "Vanna" and "charm," there are only four primary Greeks that you need to be familiar with to understand options trading.

     

    By Pat Crawley,

    • 0 comments
    • 239 views
  • 7 Steps To Take Your Investments To The Next Level

    Investing is one of the most important activities you can do for yourself. In today's world, it's becoming increasingly important for individuals to take control of their financial future and ensure that their investments are working in their favor. So if you're looking to take your investment strategy up a notch, there are seven essential steps you should take.

    By Kim,

    • 0 comments
    • 1,088 views
  • SteadyOptions 2022 - Year In Review

    2022 marks our 11th year as a public trading service. We closed 147winners out of 215 trades (68.4% winning ratio). Our model portfolio produced 90.5% compounded gain on the whole account based on 10% allocation per trade. We had only one losing month in 2022. 

    By Kim,

    • 2 comments
    • 1,175 views
  • Steady PutWrite 2022 Year In Review

    The Steady PutWrite service consists of two separate strategies available to subscribers known as Steady PutWrite and ETF BuyWrite. Steady PutWrite sells monthly at the money puts on equity indices targeting total notional exposure of 125% and then invests collateral in bond ETF’s.

    By Jesse,

    • 1 comment
    • 633 views
  • How Much Do You Need to Start Trading Options?

    Theoretically, anyone can trade options. After all, there are listed options that you can buy for as cheap as $1.00. So what is the right amount of money you need before you can officially dip your toe in the water and give yourself a fair shot at becoming a profitable options trader

    By Pat Crawley,

    • 0 comments
    • 1,020 views
  • Options Strategies for Small Accounts

    Ask a handful of traders what they deem a “small account” to be and you’ll get probably get a few different answers. For the sake of this article, we classify a small account as having less than $5,000. There’s a number of obstacles you run into trading a small account, like the options in certain underlyings being too expensive for you to trade, as one example.

     

    By Pat Crawley,

    • 0 comments
    • 1,008 views
  • 7 Things I Wish I Knew When I Started Trading

    Options Trading can be very exciting and rewarding. But you should not be trading options before learning at least some basic facts about options. Options are very different from stocks.  This article presents 7 basic options trading facts that every options trader should know. Don't start trading of you don't understand them.

    By Pat Crawley,

    • 0 comments
    • 996 views

  Report Article

We want to hear from you!


There are no comments to display.



Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account. It's easy and free!


Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.


Sign In Now

Options Trading Blogs Expertido