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  1. As you noticed, we closed our December trades two weeks before expiration, to reduce the negative gamma risk. We recommend reading the Why You Should Not Ignore Negative Gamma article to understand the gamma risk. This is another thing we do differently from many other services. We open our trades early and close them early. We would typically open the trades 6-8 weeks before expiration and close them 2-3 weeks before expiration. Here is the P/L chart for 2008-2015 (live trading began in late 2012 as shown on the performance page): The chart presents non-compounded P/L on 20k account, including commissions. Total P/L since Jan. 2008 is $38,502 or 192.5%. Anyone who has traded more than a handful of non-directional iron condors knows they can be extremely challenging in a trending market potentially causing a lot of stress, large drawdowns, and significant losses. They aren't the Holy Grail (no single strategy is). It’s normally relatively easy to make money with high probability condors 9 or 10 months per year when the markets are range bound…But many condor traders give back most or all of their profits during the usual 2 or 3 losing months each year when the markets do make large moves because they lack a detailed plan for risk management. “I would have had a great year if it wasn’t for one or two months”. If you trade condors without a detailed risk management plan you will eventually experience large losses. Since our trading strategies naturally have a high expected monthly win rate our risk management objective is to avoid giving back much more than one month’s average earnings during our losing months. This is why we introduced the Steady Condors. We tweaked the traditional Iron Condor strategy to address the issues and make the P/L curve much smoother. As we always say, you can't control returns, only manage risk. I really dislike when people make trading sound like if you are really good at it you somehow have control over your returns. The only thing you can do is build a winning strategy (better yet, multiple winning strategies with low correlation) and then manage your risk and position size so that you stay in the game long enough to let your edge work out over the long term. What risk management does is lower your win rate in order to maintain positive expectancy. It often sounds counter intuitive to new traders to learn they need to win less in order to make more money (or make any money at all) over the long term. We urge you to be very cautious about any service that only promotes a high win rate. Win rate alone tells you absolutely nothing. How many times do you get emails about a "options strategy with 99% winners" and "make $xxxx dollars per month". Unfortunately, humans desperately want to believe there is a way to make money with virtually no risk. That’s why Bernie Madoff existed, and it will never change. It is also important to remember that Steady Condors reports returns on the whole portfolio including commissions. Our 20k unit will have two trades each month (the RUT MIC and the SPX MIC). With 20% cash, we will allocate ~$8,000 per trade. If both trade made 10%, that means $800 per trade or $1,600 total for the two trades. In our track record, you will see 1,600/20,000=8%. Other services will report it as 10% (average of the two trades). In addition, our returns will always include commissions. If you see 5% return in the track record, that means that $100,000 account grew to $105,000. Plain and simple. If we were to report returns on margin as most other services do, our returns would be about 50-60% higher. For example, 2015 return would be 80.8%% and not 46.7%. Another point worth mentioning is rolling. If you look at some services, you might see few last months of data missing. That would usually mean that the trades were losing money and have been rolled for few months, to hide losses. In some cases, the unrealized losses can reach 25-50%. Rolling might work for some time - till it doesn't, and unrealized losses become realized. By then it's usually too late. It is very important to know how returns are reported, in order to make a real comparison. Always make sure to compare apples to apples. As a reminder, Steady Condors is a strategy that maximizes returns in a sideways market and can therefore add diversification to more traditional portfolios. Selling options and iron condors can add value to your portfolio. They aren't the holy grail. Just like everything else. Both our Anchor and 15M strategies (available on the LC Diversified forum as part of any membership) have had negative correlation of monthly returns to Steady Condors and therefore have blended together nicely for a diversified and relatively low maintenance portfolio. Click here to read how Steady Condors is different from "traditional" Iron Condors. Related Articles: Why Iron Condors are NOT an ATM machine How to Calculate ROI in Options Trading Why You Should Not Ignore Negative Gamma Can you double your account every six months? Can you really make 10% per month with Iron Condors? Want to join our winning team? Start Your Free Trial
  2. As I’ve done the past few years, I’ve broken down the Steady Options 2015 trade performance by trade type (there are a few open trades but these may not be closed until January). Here’s are this year’s stats along with some comments from my perspective... Pre-Earnings Calendars 51 Trades – 41 win, 10 loss (80% win) Average gain 12.67% Comments: Again one of our best performing trade types. Basically the same number of trades as last year (51 vs 48). We were probably on pace to have significantly more of these trades than last year, but large volatility jump in the Fall made entry prices not good from a historical perspective and therefore not many of these trades were placed during that timeframe. Win rate up from last year (80% vs 71%) Average gain down slightly from last year (12.67% vs 13.80%) Note that there are a few non-earnings calendars in here (like GOOG), but I included all company calendar trades in this section. Pre-Earnings Straddles/Strangles 34 Trades - 23 win, 11 loss (68% win) Average gain 2.61% (3.88% if you exclude the large QIHU loss) Comments: Count of these trades way down from last year (74 down to 34). Avoided trades on low IV stocks that were the poorest straddle/strangle performers in past years. Win percentage and average gain both up from last year’s percentages of 62% and 2.54%. Despite modest gains on straddles/strangles compared to some of the other trade types, these trades receive a lot of discussion in the forums. Rolling strikes as the stock price moves around is a big topic – note to some of the newer members, rolling does not lock in profits! (it may do so on one leg of the trade but the overall trade may still be down). There is no right answer to the rolling vs not rolling question as sometimes each will perform better. Index trades (RUT, SPY, SPX, TLT) 31 Trades - 21 win, 10 loss (68% win) SPY/TLT Combo: 6 win, 4 loss, avg loss -0.32% SPX and RUT Iron Condors: 3 win, 1 loss, avg gain +4.95% SPX and RUT Calendars: 5 win, 1 loss, avg gain +4.73% SPX Butterfly: 7 win, 4 loss, avg gain +3.49% Average gain 2.69% Comments: Large market moves this Fall were not good for these trades. When the market was relatively calm these trades performed well, when the market was volatile they performed poorly. VIX trades 11 trades - 10 win, 1 loss (91% win) Average gain 28.15% Comments: Overtook pre-earnings calendars as our best performing trade type this year. 8 of the 11 trades were VIX calendars and the ability to place these trades is very broker-specific. If you are not using IB ($150 margin per calendar) other brokers margin requirements are much higher and some will not even allow you to open the trade. I fear that many SO member missed many of these trades because they use brokers other than IB, which is a real shame as the stats clearly show that these trades were the best performers.
  3. Since I started an options trading newsletter over 3 years ago, I met a lot of interesting people. I also learned a lot about human psychology. I would like you to take a look at this article. It provides some good perspective about Wall Street and human emotions. Click here to view the article
  4. Today we closed our VIX calendar trade for $0.80 credit, after opening it just two weeks ago for $0.25 debit. What percentage gain did we make? This is not a tricky question. Well, maybe a little bit. Any high school student would tell you that 0.80/0.25=220% gain. Correct? Not so fast. Click here to view the article
  5. While most major indexes continue to straggle, SteadyOptions continues to deliver strong gains. SteadyOptions flagship service produced 121.5% ROI in First Half 2015, based on fixed $1,000 allocation per trade (non-compounded) and 6 trades open. This translated to 72.9% return on the whole account, based on 10% allocation per trade. The winning ratio was a remarkable 82%. Check out the Performance page to see the full results. Please note that those results are based on real fills, not hypothetical performance. Click here to view the article
  6. This week we closed our June trades with gains of 10.1% on margin, and 7.9% return on 20k unit. This makes the year to date non-compounded return 31.6% on a whole account (including commissions). If we reported returns like most other services do (Compounded ROI before commissions), we would report 48.9% gain. As you noticed, we closed our June trades three weeks before expiration, to reduce the negative gamma risk. We recommend reading the Why You Should Not Ignore Negative Gamma article to understand the gamma risk. This is another thing we do differently from many other services. We open our trades early and close them early. We would typically open the trades 6-8 weeks before expiration and close them 2-3 weeks before expiration. Click here to view the article
  7. In one of my previous articles I described how we are going to play the current earnings season. I shared our plans to trade some of our favorite names (NFLX, GOOG, FFIV, CMG, FB, AMZN, MSFT, LNKD, TSLA and more). I expected this period to be good for SteadyOptions members. I was wrong. This earnings season was not good. It was outstanding! We closed CMG and AMZN trades for 20% gain, GOOG for 37% gain, TSLA for 34% gain, MSFT for 13% gain, among others. We also booked 22% gain in VIX calendar, 13% in RUT calendar and 17% in SPY/TLT combo. We closed 15 trades in April, 13 winners and only 2 losers, for an overall ROI of 30.0%! Our ROI in 2015 is an amazing 85.5%, in just 4 months. Click here to view the article
  8. Our long term members know that we like to use few non-directional strategies to play earnings. There are few things we like about those strategies: They are predictable. They are repeatable. They are flexible. They can be used on the same stocks cycle after cycle. The following article described few stocks that we use over and over again, cycle after cycle. We said "$TSLA, $LNKD, $NFLX, $GOOG: Thank You, See You Next Cycle".Well, the Next Cycle is already here. Click here to view the article
  9. What would you say if someone told you that they consistently produce an average annual return of 3,000-4,000%? You would probably think it's too good to be true, right? That's what I thought when I reviewed a list of best performing investment newsletters reported by Pro-Trading-Profits, an independent advisory monitoring site. So I decided to check out one of the services reporting those remarkable returns. Click here to view the article
  10. While most major indexes continue to straggle, SteadyOptions continues to deliver strong gains. SteadyOptions flagship service produced 47.4% ROI in Q1 2015, based on fixed $1,000 allocation per trade (non-compounded) and 6 trades open. This translated to 28.4% return on the whole account, based on 10% allocation per trade. The winning ratio was a remarkable 82%. Check out the Performance page to see the full results. Please note that those results are based on real fills, not hypothetical performance. Click here to view the article
  11. Numbers don't lie. Take a look how the major indexes performed in January, and compare it to SteadyOptions performance: S&P 500: -3.1% Dow Jones: -3.7% Russell 2000: -3.3% SteadyOptions: +20.7% ROI After booking 146% ROI in 2014, we closed 8 trades in January, producing an incredible 88% winning ratio and 16% average return per trade. Click here to view the article
  12. Happy New Year everyone! Wishing you and your families a lot of health, prosperity and happiness in 2015. 2014 marks our third year as a public service. We had a fantastic year. We closed 150 trades in 2014 which produced 146.6% ROI, based on fixed $1,000 allocation per trade (non-compounded) and 6 trades open. The winning ratio was pretty consistent around 63%. We had only one losing month in 2014. Check out the Performance page to see the full results. Please note that those results are based on real fills, not hypothetical performance. Click here to view the article
  13. Our readers and members know that our returns are verified by Pro-Trading-Profits, an independent third party website that tracks performance of hundreds investment newsletters. They have an excellent explanation how to analyze and compare performance of different trading systems. Here are some highlights of their article. Click here to view the article
  14. Kim, I couldn't find where this was posted on the site, but I have to tell you this is what makes you a real stand-up guy. I don't know anyone that would write such an honest e-mail. Well done Kim. Honestly you also don't have much to be sorry about. You discuss the risks up front. You have created an excellent community here. As long as I am able to afford it, I'll pay my monthly fee just for the chance to interact with some of the regular members on this site and you, regardless of the success of the earnings trades. I wish you continued success. Richard
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