With fewer trading days and a historical record that favors an uptick in stocks and a downtick in volatility, the end of the year never fails to present an intriguing set of trading opportunities. One phenomenon related to the above is something I have labeled the “holiday effect".
Is the Black-Scholes pricing model of options accurate? Or even close to accurate? A very interesting study conducted by Sibson Consulting was cited in an article on the topic (Tim Reason, “The Holes in Black-Scholes,” CFO Magazine, March 1, 2003).
Ever seen those ads about making 5% per month with Iron Condors? It’s certainly possible, but you would have to be a bit naïve to think making a 60% per year return is simple. Most professional money managers cannot achieve those returns, so why would a retail trader be able to achieve it?
Assignment and Exercise are among the most basic aspects of options trading that every options trader should understand. In this post I painstakingly explain one of the most basic option basics to a reader who is having trouble understanding that concept.
I would like to share with you another aspect of trading- my fascination with the different levels of trading experience. Starting in one of the latest discussions in the comments section, I shared with one of you that experience in trading comes in stages. I call those the 4 Levels of Trading.
Investors of LJM Preservation and Growth Fund, a $772 million alternative mutual fund, got an email on Tuesday February 6, 2018: "LJM strategies have suffered significant losses." The fund (ticker: LJMAX) didn’t report the loss until late the following day, so shareholders were in the dark as to what happened.
It is a well known fact that most retails traders/investors lose money in the stock market. There are many explanations for that phenomenon. Trading is a journey, and not everyone is willing to complete it. Many quit too early. Here are 40 steps in the trader’s journey from new trader to rich trader. They are as follows:
The CBOE Volatility Index, known by its ticker symbol VIX, is a popular measure of the stock market's expectation of volatility implied by S&P 500 index options, calculated and published by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE).VIX is considered by many a "Fear Index".
There are many more ways to trade volatility today than there was prior to the financial crisis. Numerous ETF’s and ETN’s have been created as a way for traders to hedge volatility risk or gain exposure to it. Some of these are leveraged 2 and 3 times. To say they can be risky would be an understatement.
While trading quotes can be taken out of context, and it is crucial to have a full understanding of what the trader meant at the time, they can also give traders important insights. I asked some of my followers for their favorite trading quotes. There were a lot of great suggestions, but here are the top 50 that I’d like to share.
Shorting volatility via different products like SVXY or XIV has been a very popular and profitable strategy in the last few years. We know what happened on February 5. VIX spiked over 100%, causing a complete collapse of SVXY and XIV, wiping billions of dollars.
The naked put is a low-risk strategy, despite commonly held beliefs to the contrary - guest post by Michael C. Thomsett. The market risk of the naked (uncovered) put is identical to the market risk of a covered call. However, the two strategies also have important differences: