againstallodds

@DjtuxCould you look at BRK.B ? I try to load the straddle graphs but nothing comes up.

To members who use the CMLViz on regularly, are the limitations of this service the following? 1) reliance on EOD prices, not picking up intra-day prices, 2) not being able to constrain the backtests to specified vol regimes (e.g. see how XYZ strategy fared when VIX was above 20). How often do you trade their weekly recommendations? How often do you set up trades based on your own CML backtesting? From what I have gathered so far, the service is meant to be a backtesting tool. In this thread in the past; some members said they had left CMLViz, and some others said they like it a lot. I am trying to get a few opinions. I may end up testing the service at least for a while but still would welcome if there are pointers to be aware of.

On NFA, Optionsellers.com has been registered since 1999. Link below: https://www.nfa.futures.org/basicnet/Details.aspx?entityid=fmbUpB706H4%3d&rn=N Back in 2013, Cordier was sued by a client for (i think) unauthorized trading, and lost. https://www.cftc.gov/sites/default/files/idc/groups/public/@lrdispositions/documents/legalpleading/idyragtraders121213.pdf

@Kim I'm glad that the risky part is over and that the surgery was a success. Don't rush, and have a Happy Thanksgiving! And Thank you, @Yowsterand @SBatchfor this community.

My 2 cents is that the US/China issue will not be solved at the G20. Sure there might be a communique of some sort announced that will dampen volatility temporarily, but this US/China friction is more fundamental than to be solved at the G20. I think it is not as much about trade as it is about countering China policies regarding intellectual property and technology transfer from US companies to China. That is the main focus of the US trade representative Robert Lighthizer and he said that is not going to be easy. All this is not to discourage you, but the saga of US/China will continue. Seeing as Trump likes to play unpredictable, maybe a good entry spot for your trade would be to capitalise on an uptick in vol pre the G20.

Please could you explain what the "Reference T for relative calcs" does in the calendar configuration?

When Tilray IPOed in July, they sold small number of shares to public (as % of total shares). It has a very small float. Most of its shares outstanding are locked-up and held by insiders. Low float stocks have high borrowing costs. It is also one reason for the wild swings in its price and the vertical run-up before yesterday. Too many hands reaching for too little shares. Charlotte's Web (CWEB on CSE), another cannabis company, recently IPO'ed with similar low float share structure. This hasn't uplisted on a major exchange yet and doesn't have options.

@Djtux please look at JNPR as the calendar RV is odd with negative values (put calendar, start date 2017-01-15, all else default)

Would there not be assignment risk, say the short put gets assigned if TLRY drops. What is the worst that can happen in that situation? because to realize the full mispricing, we need to hold to expiry and if at that time stock is between middle and left strikes there is a chance that we can get assigned on the short put, while not being to exercise the long put.